CUP YTD
85-76 +02.88 units (Match-Ups)
38-30 +15.82 units (Props)
10-72 - 00.64 units (Outrights)
Total: +18.06 units
Played these today:
Match-Ups
1.50 units Greg Biffle (+110) over Mark Martin (@thegreek)
Hate going against the hot shoe right now but this has been the Biff's track the last few years (4 straight Top 3 runs/7 straight Top 10's)
1.50 units Ryan Newman (-115) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Newman may be Stewart-Haas best chance at a title run, has been outperforming his boss/teammate Tony Stewart the past month with 4 straight Top 10's. Early in his career was very strong here with 3 wins in his first 6 starts. Has cooled off a bit but did run 8th here in June
1.50 units Denny Hamlin (+120) over Kurt Busch (@thegreek)
Well aware of Hamlin's troubles at Dover of late (4 straight finishes of 36th or worse) but he has been hot (11 Top 10's the last 13 races in 2009 including 7 Top 5's and 2 wins). If he can stay around to the end he could grab another Top 5
BTW....Kurt has had his share of problems here too, only one finish better than 20th the last 5 starts.
1.50 units Jeff Burton (+130) over Dale Jr. (@5dimes)
Burton's RCR team had a good run going last week until a late race incident put him back to 16th. Has performed well at Dover having finished in the Top 16 in 14 of the last 15 races (avg. finish of 10.1).
Jr has looked like junk all weekend
1.50 units Casey Mears (+100) over Reed Sorenson (@thegreek)
Casey let me down two weeks ago but gonna give him another shot here. He has a 12th place avg. finish at Dover the past 5 races and on a normal day that would be enough to beat Sorenson
1.50 units Jamie McMurray (-115) over Martin Truex (@thegreek)
Roush is good here and Jamie has had his moments, 2 Top 10's and a 14th place finish in 3 of last 4. Truex has good history but can't seem to put anything together in 2009
1.50 units Matt Kenseth (-165) over Kevin Harvick(@5dimes)
Really don't like laying this number but Kenseth actually had good numbers in practice and this has been a great track for him (4 Top 5's the last 5 races and the other race was a 35th place finish but led 192 laps before losing an engine)
1.50 units Juan Montoya (-115) over Kurt Busch (@5dimes)
Gotta make a play on JPM the way this guy is running, qualified 2nd and ran 2nd in both practices Saturday
Props
1.00 unit Greg Biffle (+250) to win group (@sportsbook.com)
over Edwards/Hamlin/Kahne/Kurt Busch
1.00 unit Matt Kenseth (+250) to win group (@thegreek)
over Harvick/Burton/Ragan/Jr.
Outrights
0.75 unit Greg Biffle (+750) @thegreek
0.33 unit Ryan Newman (+1500) @thegreek
0.20 unit Matt Kenseth (+2500) @thegreek
0.10 unit Clint Bowyer (+4000) @thegreek
Good luck to everyone!
85-76 +02.88 units (Match-Ups)
38-30 +15.82 units (Props)
10-72 - 00.64 units (Outrights)
Total: +18.06 units
Played these today:
Match-Ups
1.50 units Greg Biffle (+110) over Mark Martin (@thegreek)
Hate going against the hot shoe right now but this has been the Biff's track the last few years (4 straight Top 3 runs/7 straight Top 10's)
1.50 units Ryan Newman (-115) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Newman may be Stewart-Haas best chance at a title run, has been outperforming his boss/teammate Tony Stewart the past month with 4 straight Top 10's. Early in his career was very strong here with 3 wins in his first 6 starts. Has cooled off a bit but did run 8th here in June
1.50 units Denny Hamlin (+120) over Kurt Busch (@thegreek)
Well aware of Hamlin's troubles at Dover of late (4 straight finishes of 36th or worse) but he has been hot (11 Top 10's the last 13 races in 2009 including 7 Top 5's and 2 wins). If he can stay around to the end he could grab another Top 5
BTW....Kurt has had his share of problems here too, only one finish better than 20th the last 5 starts.
1.50 units Jeff Burton (+130) over Dale Jr. (@5dimes)
Burton's RCR team had a good run going last week until a late race incident put him back to 16th. Has performed well at Dover having finished in the Top 16 in 14 of the last 15 races (avg. finish of 10.1).
Jr has looked like junk all weekend
1.50 units Casey Mears (+100) over Reed Sorenson (@thegreek)
Casey let me down two weeks ago but gonna give him another shot here. He has a 12th place avg. finish at Dover the past 5 races and on a normal day that would be enough to beat Sorenson
1.50 units Jamie McMurray (-115) over Martin Truex (@thegreek)
Roush is good here and Jamie has had his moments, 2 Top 10's and a 14th place finish in 3 of last 4. Truex has good history but can't seem to put anything together in 2009
1.50 units Matt Kenseth (-165) over Kevin Harvick(@5dimes)
Really don't like laying this number but Kenseth actually had good numbers in practice and this has been a great track for him (4 Top 5's the last 5 races and the other race was a 35th place finish but led 192 laps before losing an engine)
1.50 units Juan Montoya (-115) over Kurt Busch (@5dimes)
Gotta make a play on JPM the way this guy is running, qualified 2nd and ran 2nd in both practices Saturday
Props
1.00 unit Greg Biffle (+250) to win group (@sportsbook.com)
over Edwards/Hamlin/Kahne/Kurt Busch
1.00 unit Matt Kenseth (+250) to win group (@thegreek)
over Harvick/Burton/Ragan/Jr.
Outrights
0.75 unit Greg Biffle (+750) @thegreek
0.33 unit Ryan Newman (+1500) @thegreek
0.20 unit Matt Kenseth (+2500) @thegreek
0.10 unit Clint Bowyer (+4000) @thegreek
Good luck to everyone!
